BN Brookfield Corporation
$45.37
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 79.1% above fair value

You pay $45.37
Bear $17.74
Fair $25.34
Bull $32.94
Bear $17.74 -60.9% ROTCE 4.0% → 0.30x TBV
Fair $25.34 -44.2% ROTCE 2.7% → 0.30x TBV
Bull $32.94 -27.4% ROTCE 3.1% → 0.30x TBV

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (2.7%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.12x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $56.80 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $25.34 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (2.7%) is below the minimum investors require (14.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Wall Street's average price target is $56.80 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly