BKU BankUnited, Inc.
$44.78
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Mild · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 15.0% above fair value

You pay $44.78
Bear $27.26
Fair $38.94
Bull $50.62
Bear $27.26 -39.1% ROTCE 6.8% → 0.41x TBV
Fair $38.94 -13.0% ROTCE 9.0% → 0.75x TBV
Bull $50.62 +13.0% ROTCE 10.4% → 0.95x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

9.0%
10.7%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (9.0%) vs. cost of equity (10.7%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.09x

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.

Average Target (29 analysts) $50.67
Divergence from AlphaVal 23%

Summary

With ROTCE of 9.0% vs. 10.7% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.75x on $40.95 tangible book, implying $38.94 per share. DDM cross-check: $28.27.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (9.0%) is below the minimum investors require (10.7%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Dividend-based valuation: $28.27 (27% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly