BKU BankUnited, Inc.
$46.47
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Mild · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 11.4% above fair value

You pay $46.47
Bear $29.20
Fair $41.70
Bull $54.21
Bear $29.20 -37.2% ROTCE 6.8% → 0.41x TBV
Fair $41.70 -10.3% ROTCE 9.0% → 0.75x TBV
Bull $54.21 +16.7% ROTCE 10.4% → 0.95x TBV

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (9.0%) vs. cost of equity (10.7%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.13x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $50.00 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $41.70 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (9.0%) is below the minimum investors require (10.7%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Dividend-based valuation: $28.33 (27% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly