AMAL
Amalgamated Financial Corp.
$46.66
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Mild
·
Conviction
Fair Value
Trading 10.0% below fair value
You pay
$46.66
Bear
$33.38
Fair
$51.87
Bull
$62.97
Bear
$33.38
-28.5%
ROTCE 10.0% → 1.30x TBV
Fair
$51.87
+11.2%
ROTCE 13.4% → 2.02x TBV
Bull
$62.97
+35.0%
ROTCE 15.4% → 2.45x TBV
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (13.4%) vs. cost of equity (8.6%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.79x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $48.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $51.87 per share.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly