ALNT
Allient Inc.
$63.37
Platform & Compounding FCF
50%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Moderate
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 29.8% above fair value
You pay
$63.37
Bear
$35.22
Fair
$48.83
Bull
$61.82
Bear
$35.22
-44.4%
5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair
$48.83
-22.9%
9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull
$61.82
-2.4%
12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (9% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
34%
Implied Market Multiple
24.8x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $74.67 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $48.83 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $74.67 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 43% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions