ALNT
Allient Inc.
$110.17
Platform & Compounding FCF
50%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Strong
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 75.3% above fair value
You pay
$107.78
Bear
$45.22
Fair
$61.48
Bull
$77.00
Bear
$45.22
-58.0%
5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair
$61.48
-43.0%
9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull
$77.00
-28.6%
12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Adjust Assumptions
9.1%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (9% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
34%
Implied Market Multiple
29.1x
Market is pricing in (growth)
16.0%
vs 9.1% base
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.
Average Target (5 analysts)
$76.67
Divergence from AlphaVal
20%
Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $61.48 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions