ACN Accenture plc
$209.06
Stable Earnings Power 65%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Mild · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 2.8% above fair value

You pay $209.06
Bear $162.72
Fair $203.40
Bull $244.08
Bear $162.72 -22.2% $13.56 × 12x P/E
Fair $203.40 -2.7% $13.56 × 15x P/E
Bull $244.08 +16.8% $13.56 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
13.56$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.4x

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.

Average Target (53 analysts) $227.74
Divergence from AlphaVal 11%

Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $13.56, the base-case value is $203.40 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples