A
Agilent Technologies, Inc.
$114.96
Stable Earnings Power
80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 15.8% above fair value
You pay
$114.96
Bear
$79.44
Fair
$99.28
Bull
$119.14
Bear
$79.44
-30.9%
$4.71 × 12x P/E
Fair
$99.28
-13.6%
$4.71 × 15x P/E
Bull
$119.14
+3.6%
$4.71 × 18x P/E
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
24.4x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $166.00 from 38 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $99.28 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $27.90 (below our primary estimate by 61%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $166.00 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples